Depending on which calculations you read, the Twins currently have about a 90% chance of winning the Central this year. As articulated by Mr. Kelly below, their path is easier than the White Sox, and they have that cushion to begin with. I thought we'd take a look at a few graphs showing playoff odds.
Let's start with the White Sox:
Hey rollercoaster! Surprisingly, for almost a month, they were over 50% to make the playoffs. But now, look at that fall. It kind of represents the White Sox as a whole, come to think of it: play real good for a month during the season and justify all their mouth-breathing fans, only to tank it when it counts. Saaaaaaaaaad horns.
Now let's take a look at the Twins:
Wow, they bottomed out in June and July. But that was when Morneau hurt his head, and then all of a sudden they started winning. Now they are streaking towards 100%. Typical Twins season, play around in the middle of the year, and then CLOSE HARD.
And, just for comedy, the Tigers:
That's what the machine looks like when they lose the patient.
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EDIT: I'm taking this up a notch.
First, look at the Nationals from 2007. I don't think you could come up with a better description for this, other than, WEEEOMP
Next we have the Rockies from the same season. What a run to get back into it (and eventually go to the Series). They were pretty much a flat-line, and then it was off to the races...
And, finally, the Mets from 2007. Oh heavenly father, what an epic collapse
4 comments:
I've seen those graphs at my work. More Mets than anything sadly.
I love it when you turn to graphs!
Also, how many mouth breathers out there really believe their team is going to capitalize on their 10% chance? -4? Manny?
Well, check that. Manny is more of a face breather - in that he uses his whole face for air exchange.
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